Founder, Trevor Dale, manages portfolios for families preparing for retirement and currently in retirement. Having worked with pension funds and hedge funds previously.
He is looking for the best risk-adjusted returns. What countries, sectors and commodities have the biggest economic protection while also having the biggest potential upside. This is a balancing act and one that needs to be constantly updated. Economies are fluid and should be monitored closely. When there is a material and significant change in the economy then that should be reflected inside your portfolio. You shouldn't have to ask for it to be done, it should automatically be done.
This is why a long term perspective needs to be kept. Markets in the short term don't always reflect the economic realities. Markets fluctuate between the scale of euphoria and panic. A disciplined approach is necessary.
Mr. Dale takes a "top-down" approach to investing. That means that he first looks at the global economy followed by country specific countries, sectors and then individual stocks. It is the "rising tide raises all ships" philosophy that he goes by. Inside of that, how are the sectors reacting and why.
There is a dislocation between the markets and what we experience in real life. The markets will often sell off long before we see the effects in our day to day life. Conversely when the day to day life often looks better, it is the markets that have likely gone much higher well in advance of that realization. The markets are always forward looking and it is discipline and analysis that helps to stay ahead of the curve.
Data is the most important part of investing. The news should be minded but the decisions are based off of the news. Only details that materially affect economics are decisions that should be traded off of.
We (And You) Could Get it Wrong. While Mr. Dale hopes to foresee the most obvious trends, he doesn't pretend to be a know-all guru. While he has the top of industry qualifications and experience, he recognizes that to get outsized performance that he may need to deviate from a typical benchmark. This is intended to do well over the long term and is balanced out with the rest of the portfolio that we not expect to do as well in case we're wrong.